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Can Southampton secure Europa League football this season?

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After an excellent 2014-15 campaign, Southampton are looking to press on this season as they try to build on their seventh-placed finish. Ronald Koeman’s side earned a place in the Europa League but were knocked out of the early qualifying stages by Denmark outfit FC Midtjylland after a 2-1 aggregate defeat. While this was obviously a massive disappointment at the time, Saints should see the positives and try to emulate last season’s excellent league position this term. If they can secure back-to-back top-eight finishes, Southampton will have firmly established themselves as a dominant Premier League outfit and will have once again silenced their critics after a busy transfer window.

Southampton were criticised last season after they sold the likes of Dejan Lovren, Adam Lallana and Rickie Lambert – all of whom were key components of their successful 2013-14 campaign. However, new manager Koeman completely changed their tactics and style of play, adopting a much more efficient and effective approach than Mauricio Pochettino’s aggressive, pressing formation. Koeman’s decision ultimately paid off as Saints finished seventh, and threatened to break the dominance of England’s top clubs after spending a large chunk of the season in and around the top four. Although they struggled towards the end of the season, Southampton were still one of England’s most impressive performers in the 2014-15 campaign.

Koeman has done an absolutely sensational job in charge of Southampton, considering he had no control over their transfer dealings before arriving at the club. The Dutchman has had an instant impact at St. Mary’s Stadium and some are even estimating that Southampton could finish as high as sixth this term. While that may be a tad far-fetched, they are capable of going on an unbeaten run and, when this article was produced, Saints were priced at 9/2 with betfair to finish in the top six this season.

While Southampton are more than capable of achieving similar results again this season, there are a number of other clubs that are threatening to push on and finish in the top half of the Premier League. Crystal Palace, Swansea City and Stoke City all enjoyed advantageous transfer windows and strengthened their starting line-ups while adding plenty of depth to their squads. Alan Pardew’s men acquired Yohan Cabaye from Paris Saint-Germain while Patrick Bamford has also joined the club on loan from Chelsea. Cabaye teamed up with Pardew during their time at Newcastle United and has slotted in comfortably at the heart of the Eagles’ pacey midfield.

Meanwhile, Garry Monk’s Swansea have also invested wisely and, despite facing both Chelsea and Manchester United in their opening four league fixtures, are currently unbeaten. Andre Ayew, who joined the club on a free transfer from AS Monaco, has been a revelation at the Liberty Stadium and has already formed an incredible relationship with fellow strike partner Bafetimbi Gomis, who has scored in each of Swansea’s first four matches. The Welsh outfit are expected to enjoy a reasonable campaign and could well finish in the top ten this season.

Finally, Stoke City are Southampton’s final rival for eighth spot and Mark Hughes deserves plenty of praise for his role in improving Stoke’s general style of play throughout his time at the Britannia Stadium. Ibrahim Afellay, Marco van Ginkel, Glen Johnson and Xherdan Shaqiri all made the move to Stoke this summer, despite playing for the likes of Barcelona, Chelsea, Liverpool and Inter Milan. These players are all capable of enhancing Stoke’s style of play and will ultimately help to improve their performances over the course of the season. The Potters are a force to be reckoned with this campaign, although it may take some time for their newer players to adapt to the Potters’ setup.

Meanwhile, Saints also improved during the transfer window despite losing some influential performers. Jordy Clasie was an excellent purchase to replace Morgan Schneiderlin, who joined Manchester United earlier in the summer, while Virgil van Dijk will help to bring some stability and reliability to a much-changed defensive unit this term. The former Celtic man cost approximately £12 million but could feature at the heart of Southampton’s defence for the next five years and is well worth the investment.

Victor Wanyama, who seemed almost certain to join Tottenham Hotspur this summer, will also remain at St. Mary’s until the end of the campaign after the Kenyan opted to stay at the club. Wanyama had made it clear that he intended to move to White Hart Lane but changed his mind and is reportedly looking at extending his contract at Southampton. A lot can change in football but this was certainly a positive for Southampton after a difficult 12 months of transfer dealings. This time around, it could be argued that the Saints have improved despite losing Schneiderlin and Nathaniel Clyne, who joined Liverpool.

Although their transfer window wasn’t quite as successful as the likes of Stoke, Palace and Swansea, Southampton have enjoyed a reasonable spell and Koeman will be more than happy with his current crop of players. However, it wouldn’t be a huge surprise to see the Dutchman turn to the transfer market in January if Saints are struggling – something that he didn’t do last season when Southampton were seeking an out-and-out goalscorer.

In summary, yes. Southampton are more than capable of securing Europa League qualification this term but may face a difficult task due to the increased levels of competition for a place in the top half this term. While Tottenham are failing to inspire, Palace and Swansea are looking extremely good and Saints cannot afford to give these clubs a head-start, particularly in the opening stages of the campaign. If Southampton can perform at their optimum level throughout the second half of the season, they will finish strongly and could pip the likes of Spurs and Swansea to an automatic Europa League spot.

 

How have the Premier League big boys started the new season?

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The new Premier League season is now well under way and we’re beginning to get an idea as to how the campaign could develop. While there is little doubt the current table will look a lot different in May then it does now, the first few weeks of the new campaign have shown that a lot of those pre-season predictions as to which teams could be challenging for the title might not necessarily come to fruition. The likes of Chelsea, Manchester City and even Manchester United started the season being tipped by many to be in the mix come the final few weeks of the season, but the first few games of the campaign will have cast some doubt on whether that will be the case.

So, let’s take an early look at how those early season favourites have fared during the opening weeks of this season.

Chelsea

The defending champions were rightly expected to be one of the strongest squads again this season, but things haven’t exactly gone to plan for Jose Mourinho’s men so far. Their opening day 2-2 draw with Swansea was followed by a humbling 3-0 loss at the hands of title rivals Manchester City, before the Blues finally picked up their first win of the season away to West Brom. If Chelsea fans thought that victory would be the catalyst to their campaign, a disappointing 2-1 defeat to Crystal Palace in the following game was a painful reminder that this might not be the season they thought it was going to be. Priced as far out at 6/1 at the time of writing with 32Red and 10Bet to win the title, Mourinho’s side look to be facing an uphill battle to get back into this season.

via GIPHY

Manchester City

The only Premier League club with a 100% record so far, it’s fair to say Manchester City have put themselves in the driving seat. Following last season’s disappointments, City were particularly active in the summer, signing Fabian Delph, Raheem Sterling and, most recently, Kevin De Bruyne. While we all know there is no guarantee that spending sizeable sums of money will result in winning the title, the players City have signed have proven they can succeed in the Premier League. It remains to be seen whether City can maintain their stunning start to the campaign, but the signs are certainly pretty promising and it’s no surprise many believe this is their title to win.

Manchester United

For a season that started with a fair bit of promise, the opening few weeks of the new campaign have done little to convince that Louis van Gaal is going to guide United to the title in his second season in charge. As well as the ongoing David de Gea saga, the club still look extremely short in terms of goals following the departures of Robin van Persie, Javier Hernandez and Radamel Falcao this summer, and there still appear to be the same issues in both defence and the midfield that held United back in 2014/15. While the club have managed to secure their place in the Champions League group stages having beaten Club Brugge over two legs, a 2-1 defeat to Swansea showed just how much work is left to do for United to do if they want to be classed as genuine title contenders.

via GIPHY

Arsenal

As seems to be the case every season, Arsenal started this season with a real belief that they could finally end their long wait to win the Premier League title. Despite a relatively quiet summer in terms of recruitment, with the only signing of any real note being goalkeeper Petr Cech, it was felt that the Gunners had a squad capable of challenging the likes of Chelsea and City. An opening day loss to West Ham didn’t help ensure that good feeling remained, and it’s been a mixed few weeks since then for Arsene Wenger’s side. While the club have picked up wins over Crystal Palace and Newcastle, a 0-0 draw with Liverpool hasn’t convinced gamblers betting with the likes of 32Red that this is really going to be the season Arsenal fans so desperately want and it could be another term of frustration for the north London club.

 

Inter Milan can be biggest threat to Juventus

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The opening weekend of the new Serie A season produced a shock result as champions Juventus were beaten 1-0 at home at Udinese.

While it would be unwise to make knee-jerk reactions to the defeat and what it means for the rest of the season, it certainly raises the question as to whether Juventus are vulnerable this season. And, if so, which team are most likely to capitalise?

pirlo

by DrabikPany

The defeat by Udinese was the first time Juventus had lost in the league in Serie A since January 2013. It was also only the sixth time in 48 games at home that they had actually failed to win. It’s certainly not a defeat that’s going to dent odds in the region of 8/11 for the title in the Serie A betting. But it’s a defeat which does suggest this season is going to be more difficult for Massimiliano Allegri’s side.

Since finishing last season 17 points clear of Roma for the second year in a row, Allegri has seen several key players leave the club from important positions.

Andrea Pirlo’s decision to head to Major League Soccer has left Juventus shorn of tremendous experience and influence in midfield. There was certainly no sign last season that age was catching up with the 36-year-old and his ability to dictate the tempo will be sorely missed. Sami Khedira is a fine defensive midfielder, but he has different qualities to Pirlo.

Seeing Arturo Vidal go to Bayern Munich has also taken even more quality out of Juventus’ midfield, while Carlos Tevez has returned to Argentina to join Boca Juniors and his spirit, along with goals, will be a huge loss. Paulo Dybala and Mario Mandzukic have the potential and pedigree to score goals, but it’s going to be a major challenge for them to replicate the attitude of Tevez.

At the moment, it is certainly debatable whether the players Juventus have signed are equal to those they have lost, never mind improvements. It’s going to take time for the new signings to settle into the squad and the style Allegri plays, and that’s why it would be silly to think Juventus shouldn’t still be considered as title favourites.

But it will certainly give their title rivals hope and perhaps the club who could be in the best position to profit from any decline in Juventus’ standards are Inter Milan.

stadium

by Batrax

Roberto Mancini knows what it takes to construct a title-winning team from his first spell as Inter coach and there is a lot to like about their summer transfer business.

Mancini looks to have seriously improved Inter’s defence from last season, with the likes of Miranda and Jeison Murillo coming into the squad and was rewarded with a clean sheet in the opening game against Atalanta.

A 1-0 win at home over Atalanta thanks to a 93rd minute goal from Stevan Jovetic isn’t the sort of result which will get you excited about Inter’s title chances. But that is exactly the type of game Inter would have drawn 0-0, or even lost, last season. With the addition of Jovetic, and potentially Erik Lamela as well, Inter will have talented attacking players who know Serie A well.

Making up 32 points on Juventus from last season would be a monumental achievement, but the blocks are in place for Inter to be the biggest dangers to the reigning champions.

Newcastle vs Arsenal: A crucial game for the misfiring Gunners

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It has been a rather underwhelming start to the new season for Arsenal, who have failed to live up to their undoubted potential in the early days of the 2015-16 campaign so far.

The Gunners travel to take on Newcastle at St James’ Park this weekend with four points amassed from their first three games – a total that most of the Emirates Stadium faithful will be unhappy with. However, despite the lacklustre start Arsenal are still the favourites with Australian bookmakers to win against Newcastle, although that has as much to do with troubles at SJP as it does with the hope that this is a new, more dangerous Arsenal.

A 2-0 home defeat to West Ham on the opening day of the campaign sent reverberations through the North London club and undid the positive performances that Arsene Wenger’s side put in during pre-season.

A hard-fought 2-1 win at Selhurst Park against a much-improved Crystal Palace will be seen as the only real positive of the campaign to date, while an entertaining 0-0 draw against Liverpool on Monday night could have went either way.

Wenger may well not be all that disappointed to be hitting the road, especially given that his supremely talented team have failed to score in five of their last six Premier League games at home.

The major selection dilemma for the French tactician involves his central defensive pairing, with the Gunners boss sweating on the fitness of experienced pair Per Mertesacker and Laurent Koscielny, who both missed the clash against Liverpool.

Gabriel and Calum Chambers filled their shoes against the Merseysiders but instilled little confidence with a shaky first-half performance in particular.

Ahead of that, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain has been unlucky to have to sit and watch from the sidelines in the last two games, with the England international’s dynamism an asset that the visitors could well call upon.

It has been a mixed bag so far during Steve McClaren’s three-game Premier League tenure, with the sublime and ridiculous both included in the first weeks of the campaign.

The signs were there that Newcastle had been reinvented under the former England manager’s tutelage in the opening day 2-2 draw with Southampton, with Georginio Wijnaldum’s goal in particular warming the cockles of the home faithful.

The complete opposite feeling was consistently present during the Geordies’ 2-0 defeat away to Swansea, with the Tyneside outfit putting in an abject performance in South Wales.

Effort and hard work were on show last time out as Newcastle picked up a point at Old Trafford after drawing 0-0 with Manchester United, while a 4-1 win over Northampton in the Capital Cup in midweek will boost morale.

New French signing Florian Thauvin had the home crowd salivating with a star performance ion Tuesday night, taking only three minutes to find the back of the net and having a role in Newcastle’s other three goals; the former Marseille playmaker will surely be handed a Premier League debut against Arsenal.

Newcastle fans will fondly remember their resurrection and revival from trailing 4-0 to the Gunners in 2011 to salvage a 4-4 draw, and similar levels of dedication will be necessary here if the hosts are to avoid defeat.

For Arsenal, a win will get them back on track, but anything less will have people questioning their title credentials already and be a major blow heading into the international break.

Europa League need not be a burden for Southampton

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For a number of years now, the Europa League has been lumped with the unfortunate burden of being viewed as the ugly sister to the Champions League’s Cinderella.

Those unable to secure themselves a ticket to the grandest of sporting balls are forced to shelve the glass slippers and make peace with an appearance at the Thursday night after party.

It is impossible to ignore the fact that the bright lights of European football’s premier club competition cast a sizeable shadow, but it would be wrong to view those on the outside looking in as fumbling around in the dark.

After all, a continental prize is at stake here – one which now offers a seat at the Champions League’s top table for the victors.

Unlike that elite tournament, which is realistically up for grabs for a handful of elite clubs – those with the deepest pockets – the Europa League is fiercely competitive and could end up in the hands of any number of sides from across the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A or Bundesliga.

Southampton are unlikely to be setting their sights that high, as they embark on a rare adventure on foreign fields, but they should be looking to take plenty of positives out of the campaign.

The toils of Everton in 2014/15, as their squad struggled to juggle the demands of domestic and continental action, have led a number of observers to question the value of the competition to those outside of the established ‘big six’ that are capable of loading their ranks with the required depth.

The Saints, despite the best efforts of Ronald Koeman, are probably not as well-stocked as they would like, with the last two summer transfer windows doing them few favours in terms of the retention of key men – with unwanted rumours still speculating on the future of some of those on their books.

There is, however, plenty to be said for naming a settled side and giving those favoured options as many outings as possible in which to gel and strike up the kind of understandings that will serve the club well heading forward.

It is for that reason that Southampton should be looking to embrace progress in the Europa League, with betting exchanges such as those at betfair setting odds at the time of writing of 11/10 that Koeman’s men are capable of qualifying for the group stage with the minimum of fuss when they take in the second leg of their play-off clash with FC Midtjylland on Thursday.

That contest remains all square at present, with the Saints rather huffing and puffing their way to a 1-1 draw with the Danish champions at St Mary’s, but they will feel that there is plenty left in the tank.

They need to start digging that out, with a slow start to the new season offering ammunition to those reluctant to acknowledge the benefits of competing on multiple fronts outside of the established events on the English calendar. Southampton’s campaign certainly started earlier than most of their Premier League rivals – with West Ham United also yet to get going, a shock win at Arsenal aside, after entering the Europa League at the earliest possible stage. The Saints, though, will feel that competitive action in pre-season, rather than endless friendly encounters, should have stood them in good stead, with bodies and minds focused on the task ahead. That should remain the mindset, with the occasional break from the pressures of the Premier League and the pursuit of precious points no bad thing. Midweek football should be viewed as a platform on which to build momentum and a feel- good factor around the club, which can then be carried over into the more important business of pushing up the English top-flight standings. The likes of Fulham and Middlesbrough have shown in the not too distant past how the Europa League – then the UEFA Cup – can be used to great effect, offering a welcome distraction to events on home soil. Both sides made it all the way to the final – Boro in 2006 and Fulham in 2010 – before falling at the last hurdle to competition specialists Sevilla, and an Atletico Madrid side of Sergio Aguero and Diego Forlan respectively. Who is to say that Southampton cannot repeat those heroics – or go one step further?

That remains a faraway dream for now, but the south coast outfit should be aiming high.

Having broken back into the European pack following an 11-year absence, they should be looking to make their mark in illustrious company and prove that they deserve to be regular entrants in the years to come – putting them on the map and aiding future recruitment drives.

A recent study by football finance expert Dr Tom Markham, published on Sporting Intelligence, has the Saints as the seventh most valuable club in England – ahead of the likes of Everton, Newcastle United and West Ham United and a far cry from their two-season stint in League One just four years ago.

They have come a long way in a short space of time, but deserve to be on such a pedestal and need to ensure that they stay there – embracing the challenges posed by European football and looking to kick on towards the ultimate goal of forcing their way into top-four contention in the Premier League.